P
Paul
Bill said:Solid state components don't generally "wear out", except that some diodes,
transistors, and IC's might eventually develop failures over an extended
time due to surface and other manufacturing defects. Electrolytic
capacitors, lamps, motors, switches, etc, are a different ballgame, however
(but they're not solid state). The lifetime problem of those components is
simply due to their mechanical or chemical nature. Resistors have no such
problem.![]()
It depends on the operating conditions and the process used.
Electromigration is an issue. The clock speed of my P4 Northwood
gradually dropped during the time I was using it. And there were
a couple reports of a more serious clock rate decline on some
AMD processors. I don't know how significant electromigration
is, with respect to a target of a thousand years of operation.
One of the reasons processors have some "headroom" when they leave
the factory, is to cover parametric shift over lifetime. (One
AMD slide showed this headroom allocation as "500MHz".)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electromigration
DRAM failures seem to be different. I've had DRAM fail while
it was stored without bias. It suggests chemical contamination.
DRAM up to and including FPM/EDO, seemed to be better than
the stuff we have today. At one time, I would have been
gung-ho for the "it'll run forever" camp, but the evidence
that is true is no longer there.
So realistically, if you asked how to make a computer last
a thousand years, I'd have to answer "self-repairing circuits".
And then leave the interpretation of that, to your science
fiction imaginations

Paul