Eric said:
At the rate they're going, hard drives as we know them may be obsolete in
20 years, so they may be as cheap or as impossible to find as 3.5" disks
already are today. With the development of affordable CD-RW drives, at
least one major manufacturer of 3.5" disks has stopped making them.
Either a terabyte of hard drive will become affordable, or hard drives
will be replaced by something faster and more efficient. The Star Trek
smart computer is not far off.
Fast access, solid state, storage devices have been "just around the corner"
for decades now.
IBM talked about hologram storage in the 80's, the 90's was full of MRAM
speculation, etc.
It'll come, eventually, but I still don't see mechanical drives going
anywhere.
As others have said, mechanical drives simply will (for a long time to come)
provide more storage for less cost.
....but, thats not the main reason why I see them staying. The main factor I
see them staying for around is because of BLOAT.
When we have our 1TB RAM machine, programs will just be bloated out to
require 100GB to run. The cycle continues, system RAM remains for execution
of programs and not storage.
If the bloat could be checked, then system and storage memory could unite.
(Keep mechanical drives around for media though. I.e., video.)
I think it could be done now, to an extent, without Star Trek gadetry. The
first thing on the "to do" list is make system RAM non-volatile. Its
possible with today's hardware without Spock getting involved. Simply use a
rechargable lithium battery for system RAM!