Interesting thing At CD Freaks - Register article 12x and 16x DVD writers near future and double si

[John]

This surprised me cause I heard nothing about it and its always been
said that writable DVDs wouldnt ever do two layer writable DVDs.

The hype has been all about blue lasers being developed for super high
capacity writing in the future for HD TV res programs and longer video
storage.

The register has a thing about Philips and others coming out with a
two layer DVD standard for writers fairly soon to lamost double
capacity. I bet itll cost a fortune.

Also has a thing on Taiwanese makers who have been lagging in DVD
development, catching up and coming out with a strategy to leapfrog
competition by creating 12x and 16x speed DVD writers - chipsets by
mediatek at a cheap price.

Talk about brutal competition - for a while the DVDs market seemed to
be moving really slow. Now it seems like if all that happens its going
like gangbusters the next year or two. DVD 4x-8x writers dual format
for $40 ???? And 12x and 16x for $99 fairly soon?

Oh yeah they make some remark that DVD+R seems like the successor to
DVD-R.

Also China is coming out with a EVD standard - high than DVD for HDTV
higher res video.


I wish the Video market was this dynamic.

They also mentioned the DVD movies that you buy and can play for 2
days before some chemical reaction renders them unusuable - rentable
DVDs with no return requirement - is a turkey. Not selling at all.

 

[Alceryes]

They also mentioned the DVD movies that you buy and can play for 2

days before some chemical reaction renders them unusuable - rentable
DVDs with no return requirement - is a turkey. Not selling at all.

That's pretty cool. Haven't heard about that yet...

Blu-ray is still the next-gen format that DVD's are heading. Blu-ray
DVD-Rom/DVD-R's are already in the testing phase (read/write your own discs
and read pressed MFG discs). The capacity is insane at 27GB to start but
getting up to 50GB, per disc. Even dual-layer DVD's can't even get close to
that capacity.
However, we aren't scheduled to see any Blu-ray drives on the market until
the latter part of 2004 or early 2005. I'm guessing that the first ones will
most likely cost $500+ (confirm?).

 

[Alceryes]

However, we aren't scheduled to see any Blu-ray drives on the market until

the latter part of 2004 or early 2005. I'm guessing that the first ones will
most likely cost $500+ (confirm?).

Over at blu-ray.com they say that the starting price in Japan was $3800
US!!!!! Probably gonna be a few years still (2006?) till the price comes
dowm enough for the home user in the US.

 

[John]

Over at blu-ray.com they say that the starting price in Japan was $3800
US!!!!! Probably gonna be a few years still (2006?) till the price comes
dowm enough for the home user in the US.

Yeah they are really expensive. Itll be a while before they drop to
reasonable levels. You know prices dont really move fast until
China/Taiwanese firms get involved and the thing becomes generic and
all these weird brands start floodingthe market. When its in the hands
of the old industrialized nations - things move glacially. Usually
theres a huge squabble for years to set standards. Then a ridiculously
priced item comes out and sits there for years. Then it finally drops
to the $500-1000 range for years as they try to milk it for profits.
Then it moves downward at a snails pace taking years and years more
unless the Taiwanese come up with their version and then farm it out
to china in which the price drops down to nothing and the the rest of
the world panics and tries to rush out similarly priced stuff
outsourced to china - and then lots of firms start losing money and
thers a glut and all the well known brands from US, Europe and Japan
pull out of the mkt .

Ill be happy if they just :

a) DVD players are falling like crazy now with mass generic makers
flooding the mkt - BTC and others. Dual writers are already hitting
the $100 range and even an 8x generic brand type is selling for $150
or so. DVD +R only writers hitting the $70-80 range and they say its
"increasingly looking like itll be the successor to the older DVD-R"
standard. Next year or so they say itll look like DVD+R only burners
will outsell DVD-R only burners 3 to 1 I think was the figure. So
generic 4x DVD+R burners for $40-60 next year? With that flood - DVD
media starting to flood the mkt and rebated down to $.10 a disk ?????
I hope.


b) Dual layer or double capacity drives down in the $120 range with
media in the .50-80 range. This will probably take a while since
Philips may control it.